Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Slow recovery in Japan (2010-03-10 JPYNZD analysis)

Though the global markets seemed to be stablized after the great surge in HSI on Monday, the bull wave would be arriving as analyzed posted in my last blog.

I am always focusing on forex these days to gain more knowledge on cross rates rather than simply the rates to USD. It is really challenging for me as I do not have much time to keep track of the changes of the rates, and I have to use much of my spare time to do so. However, I am still a newbie in this aspect and I believe I am improving.

Today after reading news from Bloomberg about Japanese Yen, I did an technical analysis on JPY/NZD. On Bloomberg, a bond and currency dealer in Japan said due to the faster economy recovery in Asia-Pacific region than in Japan, many people showed their anticipation in NZD by selling JPY/NZD. That's why JPY/NZD dropped.



We could see that the price dropped through the channel and was heading to the next fibonacci line, which is at 1.5528. We would expect a small rebound at that point, but given the slow recovery in Japan, the line is probably having a very small supporting effect, and the price would go further downwards.

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