Vol might break out (2012-08-17 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index (.VIX). The index recently plunged to all-time low and bounced to resistant level. From the chart, it looks like it would be going to break out, though the breakout signal is not very strong.

Volatility breakout? (2012-06-27 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index (VIX). There will be a break soon, we have to keep on looking at whether it is going up or down. Given that there will be loads of economic data coming out next few days, I believe the chance for breaking out would be higher.

I'm going back to Hong Kong tomorrow and therefore I might not be able to update the blog for two days.

False or true break down? (2012-06-20 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index (VIX). Given the movement in MACD and RSI, the index looks like that it would surge and go back within the diverging flag, which means that the volatility would increase. But still we would need the index to close within the flag to confirm that the break down is a false one.

Rising volatility (2012-06-12 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index (VIX). The index should be moving upwards within the diverging flag, and the trading range would be widening. But in general, a bullish movement is expected on the index. Watch out of any big plunges in stock markets.

Calm down for a while (2012-06-05 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of Volatility Index (.VIX). The index is more-or-less under bullish trend but it seems it would take a few-day rest, before further surging.

What volatility tells (2012-05-02 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index (.VIX). It looks like the index would gradually rise in near future but as the range narrows it is more likely to break out. So it might mean a gradually bullish trend in the stock market followed by plunges. Would keep on updating on this.

Having fear soon ? (2012-04-12 VIX analysis)

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Above is the daily chart of Volatility Index (.VIX). It seems like the index is going to break out, given the MACD and Stochastic divergence.

Good luck to Indonesia.

Volatility moving flat (2012-03-21 VIX analysis)

VIX has been moving these days, and the market is under no-fear situation. Resistant is currently at 17.6, and there is still no sign for bullish in this fear index.

Even higher volatility ? (2012-03-08 VIX analysis)

Looks like the volatility index will be surging for some time.

Volatility breakout (2012-02-15 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of Volatility Index (.VIX). The index broke out the decreasing flag last week and will probably surge. 50-day SMA was able to resist it once but it is expected to be weaker when VIX tests it again. The retracement levels will be major resistant levels.

Almost time ? (2012-02-10 VIX analysis)

Keep an eye on volatility, should be almost time for possible breakout. Upside would be more likely.

Big move or small move? (2012-02-01 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of Volatility Index (.VIX). The index is currently within the red decreasing wedge and it is going to break out. We have to see which side it is going to break.

Levels to be aware of are indicated in the chart. Good luck.

Dropping volatility (2012-01-19 VIX analysis)

The volatility keeps on moving sideways at a pretty low level. It failed to break out the 10-day and 20-day Simple Moving Averages and may move even lower.

Be aware of any possible break down of the previous low.

Volatility break out? (2012-01-10 VIX analysis)

Above is the daily chart of volatility index. We can see that the index has reached the target level estimated using the orange flag.

We might expect a break out of the red channel in days.

On volatility (2011-12-29 VIX analysis)

The volatility index finally starts to become normal again.

Involatile volatility (2011-12-21 VIX analysis)

It looks like the EUR was breaking out the green flag instead of continuing to drop. Currently it has reached 50-period Moving Average and would probably face some resistant. Support is at around 1.305, and next resistant will be at around 1.318.

Today's focus is Volatility Index (.VIX).
















The index will be strongly supported at 20. And it is more likely to move sideways in near future.

No reversal signal (2011-12-13 VIX analysis)

Not much from Volatility (2011-12-07 VIX analysis)

Not much hints from Volatility Index. But still we have to keep an eye on any possible gap up these two days which make it form a nice Island.

Time for a break? (2011-11-29 VIX analysis)

Mess (2011-11-23 VIX analysis)

VIX is expected to be moving in range these days as well. It looks like the debt problem is yet to be solved...

Be aware of such volatile market.