Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Another Small-cap Stock (2011-05-18 Dynamic Energy analysis)



Above is the daily chart of Dynamic Energy Holdings Ltd. 0578.HK. This company mainly produces and sells coal in China.

From the chart, we can see that starting from December 2010, after 4-month suspension because of operations sales (which was announced unsuccessful), the stock price has been rising crazily from 0.33 to as high as 0.74.

Fundamentally, the main reason would be the rise of coal price and its continuing operations of the coal mines. But I guess the best explanation would be some corporate investors are "playing" with this stock. It is shown by the abnormal large volume when compared to that before suspension.

0.33 to 0.74 there is around 124% gain. Would these guys be satisfied? Probably Not. They have spent over a year to collect stocks, and there was even news popping up. Having done a lot, would these investors be willing to let go for just 124%?

Another good signal would be the doji in last April, followed by a trading day with extremely huge volume. The doji would probably be a fake signal asking retail investors to sell (fake evening doji). Then, on the next day, the corporate investors continued collecting more shares.

Therefore, I would expect further rise of this energy stock. The price now is 0.72, and 0.74 would be the next resistance. If it breaks out, we should buy without hesitation.

Of course, remember to set a stop loss level when "investing" or speculating these kinds of small-cap stocks.

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