Friday, July 9, 2010

Looking not too good (2010-07-09 S&P500 analysis)

Hang Seng Index closed up 1.64%, at 20378.66. It is currently still within the fork in the week chart I posted in my last post. So let's swtich to the states. S&P 500 Index opened up at 1070.50 and is currently gaining 0.34%. Let's see what we could get from chart.



Basically the index is testing the top of the short-term green fork. However, as it has broken the long-term purple fork, I would have a general bearish expectation on it. We can see that S&P was well supported by the fibs level as well as the green fork, and had consecutive 3-day gain excluding today. So today and next Monday would be important dates as they would confirm us how it would move afterwards.

Once S&P breaks the fork, we might expect the next resistance level at 1120. But if it could not break, the index would fall to as low as before 1000.

1 comment:

  1. 哈哈, 第一次黎:D

    唔介意我打中文:P, 我睇法和你差不多, 同時我都幾睇淡, 唔知點解我睇個macd 同你睇個唔同, 我睇個macd 係未穿ema, 已經到反彈浪頂都未能升穿, 同埋又冇出現背馳, 的確令我對後市睇淡不少, 加上我唔太接受到一個U 型既假突破, HAHHA

    當然, 今天同星期一的確好重要, 如果同時突破阻力位而MACD 又穿ema既話, 上升動力都幾大, 甚至左右我對依家係牛定熊既睇法

    另外,期權同期貨都影響很大, 未平倉合約數目可以留意下,都會大大有助你分析 :D, 不過我就未有好多數據係手, 所以分析唔到d咩,要有d證券行戶口先睇得多野 =[

    以後多d黎睇先,一齊交流下心得 =]

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